Recession and the economic cycle Cambridge IGCSE Economics (9–1) revision

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In plain words

Economies do not grow smoothly. Output climbs for some years, slows, sometimes falls, and then picks up again. These ups and downs are the economic cycle.

The low point matters most to ordinary people, because that is when jobs go.

4 things to know

  1. A recession is a fall in real GDP for two consecutive quarters (six months in a row).
  2. The economic cycle has four stages. Boom: fast growth, low unemployment, rising inflation. Downturn: growth slows. Recession: output falls, unemployment rises, inflation falls. Recovery: output begins to rise again.
  3. A recession may be caused by a fall in total demand (households, firms or foreign buyers spending less), or by a fall in the quantity or quality of resources.
  4. Consequences for consumers and workers: lower incomes and job losses. For firms: lower sales and profits, and some close. For the government: less tax revenue and more spending on benefits, so the budget deficit grows.

Tips and tricks

  • Two quarters, falling, real GDP: all three parts are needed in the definition of a recession. Slower growth is a downturn, not a recession.
  • In a recession inflation usually falls, because firms cannot raise prices when demand is weak. Unemployment and inflation tend to move in opposite directions over the cycle.
5 questions, about 2 minutes.

It lands in your notebook with its questions as flashcards.

Recession and the economic cycle: 5 questions and answers

These are the quiz’s questions. Do the quiz first, then come back here for the ones that got you.

  1. A recession is
    • a rise in prices for six months
    • a fall in real GDP for two consecutive quarters (the answer)
    • a slowdown in the rate of growth
    • a fall in the population

    Output must actually fall, for two quarters in a row.

  2. In which stage of the economic cycle is unemployment usually lowest?
    • boom (the answer)
    • downturn
    • recession
    • the start of recovery

    Firms are producing at their peak and need the most workers.

  3. Which is most likely to cause a recession?
    • a rise in consumer confidence
    • a rise in exports
    • a large fall in consumer spending (the answer)
    • a rise in investment

    Lower spending means lower total demand, so firms cut output.

  4. What usually happens to tax revenue in a recession?
    • It rises.
    • It falls. (the answer)
    • It stays the same.
    • It doubles.

    Lower incomes, spending and profits all mean less tax collected.

  5. Which stage follows a recession?
    • boom
    • downturn
    • recovery (the answer)
    • peak

    Output starts to rise again.

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