Inflation and deflation Cambridge IGCSE Economics (9–1) revision

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In plain words

If a loaf cost $1 a few years ago and costs $1.50 now, each dollar buys less bread than it did. When prices in general keep rising like this, that is inflation, and the value of money is falling.

A little is normal. A lot is harmful, and so is the opposite, prices that keep falling.

5 things to know

  1. Inflation is a sustained rise in the general price level. Deflation is a sustained fall in the general price level.
  2. It is measured with the Consumer Prices Index (CPI): the cost of a "basket" of goods and services that a typical household buys, with each item weighted by how much is spent on it. The inflation rate is the percentage change in the CPI.
  3. Demand-pull inflation: total demand grows faster than the economy can supply. Cost-push inflation: rising costs, such as wages, oil or imported materials, are passed on in higher prices.
  4. Who loses: savers, if interest is below inflation; lenders; people on fixed incomes. Who gains: borrowers, because the real value of what they owe falls.
  5. Other costs: exports become less competitive, firms face the cost of changing their prices (menu costs), people spend time shopping around (shoe-leather costs), and uncertainty puts firms off investing.

Worked example

The CPI rises from 120 to 126 over a year. Calculate the rate of inflation.

  1. Change in the index = 126 − 120 = 6.
  2. Inflation rate = change ÷ original × 100 = 6 ÷ 120 × 100.
  3. The inflation rate is 5%.

Tips and tricks

  • If the inflation rate falls from 5% to 3%, prices are still rising, only more slowly. Prices fall only when the rate is negative: that is deflation.
  • To decide who gains and who loses, ask what happens to the real value of the money they hold or owe.
5 questions, about 2 minutes.

It lands in your notebook with its questions as flashcards.

Inflation and deflation: 5 questions and answers

These are the quiz’s questions. Do the quiz first, then come back here for the ones that got you.

  1. Inflation is
    • a rise in the price of one product
    • a sustained rise in the general price level (the answer)
    • a fall in the value of exports
    • a rise in real GDP

    It is about prices in general, rising over time.

  2. The CPI rises from 200 to 210. What is the inflation rate?
    • 2%
    • 5% (the answer)
    • 10%
    • 210%

    10 ÷ 200 × 100 = 5%.

  3. Which would cause cost-push inflation?
    • a cut in income tax
    • a rise in consumer spending
    • a sharp rise in the price of oil (the answer)
    • a fall in interest rates

    Oil is a cost for almost every firm, and they pass it on. The others raise demand.

  4. Who is most likely to gain from unexpected inflation?
    • savers
    • lenders
    • borrowers (the answer)
    • pensioners on a fixed income

    The money they repay is worth less than the money they borrowed.

  5. The inflation rate falls from 6% to 4%. What is happening to prices?
    • They are falling.
    • They are rising more slowly. (the answer)
    • They are not changing.
    • They are rising faster.

    A positive rate means prices are still going up.

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